Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that PSG will likely win this match with a probability of 67.41%. A win for Brest has a probability of 12%, while a draw has a probability of 20.58%. The most likely scoreline for a PSG win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.87% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 13.03%. The most probable Brest win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.96%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.58%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | Brest | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.93 | 0.67 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 67.41% | 20.58% | 12.00% |
| Imp Odds | 1.48 | 4.86 | 8.33 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.43% | 13.46 |
| 1.5 | 26.75% | 3.74 |
| 2.5 | 51.86% | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 73.61% | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 87.75% | 1.14 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.57% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 73.25% | 1.37 |
| 2.5 | 48.14% | 2.08 |
| 3.5 | 26.39% | 3.79 |
| 4.5 | 12.25% | 8.16 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 13.46 | 7.43% |
| 0-1 | 20.17 | 4.96% |
| 0-2 | 60.48 | 1.65% |
| 0-3 | 272.00 | 0.37% |
| 1-0 | 6.96 | 14.36% |
| 1-1 | 10.44 | 9.58% |
| 1-2 | 31.30 | 3.20% |
| 1-3 | 140.76 | 0.71% |
| 2-0 | 7.21 | 13.87% |
| 2-1 | 10.80 | 9.26% |
| 2-2 | 32.39 | 3.09% |
| 2-3 | 145.68 | 0.69% |
| 3-0 | 11.19 | 8.94% |
| 3-1 | 16.77 | 5.96% |
| 3-2 | 50.29 | 1.99% |
| 3-3 | 226.17 | 0.44% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.68 | 13.03% |
| Any Other Away Win | 279.18 | 0.36% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,664.76 | 0.04% |