Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Genoa will likely win this match with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 23.47%, while a draw has a probability of 28.65%. The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.17% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.79%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.30 | 0.82 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 47.87% | 28.65% | 23.47% |
| Imp Odds | 2.09 | 3.49 | 4.26 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.04% | 8.31 |
| 1.5 | 37.52% | 2.67 |
| 2.5 | 64.50% | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 83.54% | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 93.62% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.96% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 62.48% | 1.60 |
| 2.5 | 35.50% | 2.82 |
| 3.5 | 16.46% | 6.07 |
| 4.5 | 6.38% | 15.66 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 8.31 | 12.04% |
| 0-1 | 10.16 | 9.84% |
| 0-2 | 24.86 | 4.02% |
| 0-3 | 91.21 | 1.10% |
| 1-0 | 6.39 | 15.64% |
| 1-1 | 7.82 | 12.79% |
| 1-2 | 19.13 | 5.23% |
| 1-3 | 70.19 | 1.42% |
| 2-0 | 9.84 | 10.17% |
| 2-1 | 12.03 | 8.31% |
| 2-2 | 29.44 | 3.40% |
| 2-3 | 108.01 | 0.93% |
| 3-0 | 22.71 | 4.40% |
| 3-1 | 27.78 | 3.60% |
| 3-2 | 67.95 | 1.47% |
| 3-3 | 249.34 | 0.40% |
| Any Other Home Win | 23.41 | 4.27% |
| Any Other Away Win | 148.43 | 0.67% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,597.27 | 0.03% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.15 | 0.80 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.02% | 30.66% | 25.32% |
| Imp Odds | 2.27 | 3.26 | 3.95 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.26% | 7.01 |
| 1.5 | 42.04% | 2.38 |
| 2.5 | 69.09% | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 86.65% | 1.15 |
| 4.5 | 95.20% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.74% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 57.96% | 1.73 |
| 2.5 | 30.91% | 3.24 |
| 3.5 | 13.35% | 7.49 |
| 4.5 | 4.80% | 20.82 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 14.26% | 7.01 |
| 0-1 | 11.35% | 8.81 |
| 0-2 | 4.52% | 22.13 |
| 0-3 | 1.20% | 83.39 |
| 1-0 | 16.42% | 6.09 |
| 1-1 | 13.07% | 7.65 |
| 1-2 | 5.20% | 19.22 |
| 1-3 | 1.38% | 72.42 |
| 2-0 | 9.45% | 10.58 |
| 2-1 | 7.53% | 13.29 |
| 2-2 | 3.00% | 33.38 |
| 2-3 | 0.79% | 125.80 |
| 3-0 | 3.63% | 27.56 |
| 3-1 | 2.89% | 34.62 |
| 3-2 | 1.15% | 86.97 |
| 3-3 | 0.31% | 327.77 |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.95% | 33.91 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.59% | 170.26 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,514.17 |