Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that PSG is likely to win this match with a probability of 59.7%. A win for Lille has a probability of 18.2%, while a draw has a probability of 22.08%. The most likely scoreline for a PSG win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 11.22% and 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The most probable Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.56%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.49%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | Lille | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.89 | 0.94 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 59.70% | 22.08% | 18.20% |
| Imp Odds | 1.68 | 4.53 | 5.49 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.94% | 16.82 |
| 1.5 | 22.72% | 4.40 |
| 2.5 | 46.40% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 68.69% | 1.46 |
| 4.5 | 84.41% | 1.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.06% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 77.28% | 1.29 |
| 2.5 | 53.60% | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 31.31% | 3.19 |
| 4.5 | 15.59% | 6.41 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.94% | 16.82 |
| 0-1 | 5.56% | 17.99 |
| 0-2 | 2.60% | 38.48 |
| 0-3 | 0.81% | 123.46 |
| 1-0 | 11.22% | 8.91 |
| 1-1 | 10.49% | 9.53 |
| 1-2 | 4.91% | 20.39 |
| 1-3 | 1.53% | 65.40 |
| 2-0 | 10.59% | 9.44 |
| 2-1 | 9.90% | 10.10 |
| 2-2 | 4.63% | 21.60 |
| 2-3 | 1.44% | 69.29 |
| 3-0 | 6.66% | 15.01 |
| 3-1 | 6.23% | 16.05 |
| 3-2 | 2.91% | 34.32 |
| 3-3 | 0.91% | 110.12 |
| Any Other Home Win | 12.17% | 8.21 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.13% | 88.45 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.11% | 929.20 |
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | Lille | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.47 | 0.69 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 55.99% | 26.59% | 17.42% |
| Imp Odds | 1.79 | 3.76 | 5.74 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.61% | 8.61 |
| 1.5 | 36.61% | 2.73 |
| 2.5 | 63.53% | 1.57 |
| 3.5 | 82.85% | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 93.25% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.39% | 1.13 |
| 1.5 | 63.39% | 1.58 |
| 2.5 | 36.47% | 2.74 |
| 3.5 | 17.15% | 5.83 |
| 4.5 | 6.75% | 14.81 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 8.61 | 11.61% |
| 0-1 | 12.56 | 7.96% |
| 0-2 | 36.62 | 2.73% |
| 0-3 | 160.21 | 0.62% |
| 1-0 | 5.87 | 17.04% |
| 1-1 | 8.56 | 11.68% |
| 1-2 | 24.96 | 4.01% |
| 1-3 | 109.18 | 0.92% |
| 2-0 | 8.00 | 12.50% |
| 2-1 | 11.66 | 8.57% |
| 2-2 | 34.02 | 2.94% |
| 2-3 | 148.80 | 0.67% |
| 3-0 | 16.35 | 6.11% |
| 3-1 | 23.85 | 4.19% |
| 3-2 | 69.54 | 1.44% |
| 3-3 | 304.20 | 0.33% |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.30 | 6.14% |
| Any Other Away Win | 261.30 | 0.38% |
| Any Other Draw | 4,644.06 | 0.02% |
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