Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Union Berlin is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 29.21%, while a draw has a probability of 25.99%. The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0, with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.05% and 2-0 with a probability of 8%. The most probable Wolfsburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.36%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Union Berlin | Wolfsburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.46 | 1.13 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.77% | 25.99% | 29.21% |
| Imp Odds | 2.23 | 3.85 | 3.42 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.47% | 13.39 |
| 1.5 | 26.85% | 3.72 |
| 2.5 | 51.99% | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 73.72% | 1.36 |
| 4.5 | 87.82% | 1.14 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.53% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 73.15% | 1.37 |
| 2.5 | 48.01% | 2.08 |
| 3.5 | 26.28% | 3.81 |
| 4.5 | 12.18% | 8.21 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 13.39 | 7.47% |
| 0-1 | 11.84 | 8.45% |
| 0-2 | 20.94 | 4.78% |
| 0-3 | 55.56 | 1.80% |
| 1-0 | 9.15 | 10.93% |
| 1-1 | 8.09 | 12.36% |
| 1-2 | 14.31 | 6.99% |
| 1-3 | 37.96 | 2.63% |
| 2-0 | 12.50 | 8.00% |
| 2-1 | 11.05 | 9.05% |
| 2-2 | 19.55 | 5.11% |
| 2-3 | 51.88 | 1.93% |
| 3-0 | 25.62 | 3.90% |
| 3-1 | 22.66 | 4.41% |
| 3-2 | 40.08 | 2.50% |
| 3-3 | 106.34 | 0.94% |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.72 | 5.98% |
| Any Other Away Win | 49.66 | 2.01% |
| Any Other Draw | 961.48 | 0.10% |
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Union Berlin | Wolfsburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.33 | 1.16 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 40.60% | 26.93% | 32.44% |
| Imp Odds | 2.46 | 3.71 | 3.08 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.27% | 12.09 |
| 1.5 | 28.88% | 3.46 |
| 2.5 | 54.57% | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 75.91% | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 89.22% | 1.12 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.73% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.12% | 1.41 |
| 2.5 | 45.43% | 2.20 |
| 3.5 | 24.09% | 4.15 |
| 4.5 | 10.78% | 9.27 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.27% | 12.09 |
| 0-1 | 9.60% | 10.42 |
| 0-2 | 5.57% | 17.94 |
| 0-3 | 2.16% | 46.35 |
| 1-0 | 11.01% | 9.08 |
| 1-1 | 12.78% | 7.82 |
| 1-2 | 7.42% | 13.47 |
| 1-3 | 2.87% | 34.81 |
| 2-0 | 7.33% | 13.64 |
| 2-1 | 8.51% | 11.75 |
| 2-2 | 4.94% | 20.24 |
| 2-3 | 1.91% | 52.29 |
| 3-0 | 3.25% | 30.73 |
| 3-1 | 3.78% | 26.47 |
| 3-2 | 2.19% | 45.60 |
| 3-3 | 0.85% | 117.81 |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.52% | 22.14 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.13% | 47.01 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.09% | 1,145.23 |
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