Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.84%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 22.18% and a draw has a probability of 19.39%. The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.1% and 1-3 with a probability of 7.1%. The likeliest Hoffenheim win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.45%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.77%).
This match is interesting for betting on the away team, as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.73 compared to around 2.1.
Check out free Bundesliga predictions on other matches.
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Hoffenheim | Borussia Dortmund | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.40 | 2.34 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 22.18% | 19.39% | 57.84% |
| Imp Odds | 4.51 | 5.16 | 1.73 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.37% | 42.25 |
| 1.5 | 11.23% | 8.91 |
| 2.5 | 27.81% | 3.60 |
| 3.5 | 48.51% | 2.06 |
| 4.5 | 67.88% | 1.47 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.63% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 88.77% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 72.19% | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 51.49% | 1.94 |
| 4.5 | 32.12% | 3.11 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 2.37% | 42.25 |
| 0-1 | 5.54% | 18.05 |
| 0-2 | 6.49% | 15.42 |
| 0-3 | 5.06% | 19.76 |
| 1-0 | 3.32% | 30.12 |
| 1-1 | 7.77% | 12.87 |
| 1-2 | 9.10% | 10.99 |
| 1-3 | 7.10% | 14.09 |
| 2-0 | 2.33% | 42.95 |
| 2-1 | 5.45% | 18.35 |
| 2-2 | 6.38% | 15.68 |
| 2-3 | 4.98% | 20.09 |
| 3-0 | 1.09% | 91.87 |
| 3-1 | 2.55% | 39.25 |
| 3-2 | 2.98% | 33.53 |
| 3-3 | 2.33% | 42.97 |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.46% | 22.40 |
| Any Other Away Win | 14.97% | 6.68 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.55% | 182.98 |
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Hoffenheim | Borussia Dortmund | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.98 | 3.19 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 8.08% | 11.80% | 77.57% |
| Imp Odds | 12.38 | 8.48 | 1.29 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.54% | 64.80 |
| 1.5 | 7.98% | 12.53 |
| 2.5 | 21.41% | 4.67 |
| 3.5 | 40.08% | 2.50 |
| 4.5 | 59.54% | 1.68 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.46% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 92.02% | 1.09 |
| 2.5 | 78.59% | 1.27 |
| 3.5 | 59.92% | 1.67 |
| 4.5 | 40.46% | 2.47 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 64.80 | 1.54% |
| 0-1 | 20.33 | 4.92% |
| 0-2 | 12.76 | 7.84% |
| 0-3 | 12.01 | 8.33% |
| 1-0 | 65.84 | 1.52% |
| 1-1 | 20.66 | 4.84% |
| 1-2 | 12.96 | 7.71% |
| 1-3 | 12.20 | 8.19% |
| 2-0 | 133.80 | 0.75% |
| 2-1 | 41.98 | 2.38% |
| 2-2 | 26.35 | 3.80% |
| 2-3 | 24.80 | 4.03% |
| 3-0 | 407.88 | 0.25% |
| 3-1 | 127.98 | 0.78% |
| 3-2 | 80.31 | 1.25% |
| 3-3 | 75.60 | 1.32% |
| Any Other Home Win | 86.29 | 1.16% |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.17 | 24.00% |
| Any Other Draw | 339.12 | 0.29% |