Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Leipzig is likely to win this match with a probability of 61.04%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 18.71%, while a draw has a probability of 20.2%. The most likely scoreline for a Leipzig win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.86% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.34%. The most probable Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.08%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.2%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | Hoffenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.14 | 1.10 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 61.04% | 20.20% | 18.71% |
| Imp Odds | 1.64 | 4.95 | 5.35 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.89% | 25.70 |
| 1.5 | 16.52% | 6.05 |
| 2.5 | 37.03% | 2.70 |
| 3.5 | 59.22% | 1.69 |
| 4.5 | 77.23% | 1.29 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.11% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 83.48% | 1.20 |
| 2.5 | 62.97% | 1.59 |
| 3.5 | 40.78% | 2.45 |
| 4.5 | 22.77% | 4.39 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.89% | 25.70 |
| 0-1 | 4.30% | 23.28 |
| 0-2 | 2.37% | 42.17 |
| 0-3 | 0.87% | 114.60 |
| 1-0 | 8.34% | 12.00 |
| 1-1 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
| 1-2 | 5.08% | 19.68 |
| 1-3 | 1.87% | 53.49 |
| 2-0 | 8.93% | 11.20 |
| 2-1 | 9.86% | 10.14 |
| 2-2 | 5.44% | 18.37 |
| 2-3 | 2.00% | 49.93 |
| 3-0 | 6.38% | 15.68 |
| 3-1 | 7.04% | 14.20 |
| 3-2 | 3.89% | 25.73 |
| 3-3 | 1.43% | 69.91 |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.61% | 6.02 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.92% | 52.13 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.23% | 429.48 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | Hoffenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.18 | 1.20 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 59.56% | 20.17% | 20.22% |
| Imp Odds | 1.68 | 4.96 | 4.95 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.42% | 29.23 |
| 1.5 | 14.97% | 6.68 |
| 2.5 | 34.45% | 2.90 |
| 3.5 | 56.38% | 1.77 |
| 4.5 | 74.88% | 1.34 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.58% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 85.03% | 1.18 |
| 2.5 | 65.55% | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 43.62% | 2.29 |
| 4.5 | 25.12% | 3.98 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 29.23 | 3.42% |
| 0-1 | 24.37 | 4.10% |
| 0-2 | 40.65 | 2.46% |
| 0-3 | 101.69 | 0.98% |
| 1-0 | 13.43 | 7.44% |
| 1-1 | 11.20 | 8.93% |
| 1-2 | 18.68 | 5.35% |
| 1-3 | 46.73 | 2.14% |
| 2-0 | 12.35 | 8.10% |
| 2-1 | 10.30 | 9.71% |
| 2-2 | 17.17 | 5.82% |
| 2-3 | 42.95 | 2.33% |
| 3-0 | 17.02 | 5.87% |
| 3-1 | 14.19 | 7.05% |
| 3-2 | 23.67 | 4.22% |
| 3-3 | 59.22 | 1.69% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.83 | 17.16% |
| Any Other Away Win | 40.26 | 2.48% |
| Any Other Draw | 326.42 | 0.31% |