Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 28.62% and a draw probability of 31.77%. The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-0 with a probability of 8.29%. The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (15.24%).
You can check out free La Liga predictions on other matches.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Alaves | Athletic Club | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.04 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 39.60% | 31.77% | 28.62% |
| Imp Odds | 2.53 | 3.15 | 3.49 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 15.24% | 6.56 |
| 1.5 | 43.90% | 2.28 |
| 2.5 | 70.87% | 1.41 |
| 3.5 | 87.79% | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 95.74% | 1.04 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 84.76% | 1.18 |
| 1.5 | 56.10% | 1.78 |
| 2.5 | 29.13% | 3.43 |
| 3.5 | 12.21% | 8.19 |
| 4.5 | 4.26% | 23.48 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 6.56 | 15.24% |
| 0-1 | 7.83 | 12.77% |
| 0-2 | 18.68 | 5.35% |
| 0-3 | 66.83 | 1.50% |
| 1-0 | 6.29 | 15.89% |
| 1-1 | 7.50 | 13.32% |
| 1-2 | 17.90 | 5.59% |
| 1-3 | 64.07 | 1.56% |
| 2-0 | 12.06 | 8.29% |
| 2-1 | 14.39 | 6.95% |
| 2-2 | 34.33 | 2.91% |
| 2-3 | 122.84 | 0.81% |
| 3-0 | 34.70 | 2.88% |
| 3-1 | 41.39 | 2.42% |
| 3-2 | 98.73 | 1.01% |
| 3-3 | 353.30 | 0.28% |
| Any Other Home Win | 46.40 | 2.16% |
| Any Other Away Win | 149.62 | 0.67% |
| Any Other Draw | 6,240.51 | 0.02% |