Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Girona is likely to win this match with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 38.9%, while a draw has a probability of 20.8%. The most likely scoreline for a Girona win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 1-2 with a probability of 7.46%. The most probable Celta Vigo win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 12.19%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.46%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on total goals over 2.5 for 1.8, given that the average projected goals calculated by our model stand at 3.96.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Celta Vigo | Girona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.96 | 2.00 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 38.90% | 20.80% | 40.09% |
| Imp Odds | 2.57 | 4.81 | 2.49 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.90% | 52.64 |
| 1.5 | 9.43% | 10.61 |
| 2.5 | 24.35% | 4.11 |
| 3.5 | 44.06% | 2.27 |
| 4.5 | 63.60% | 1.57 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.10% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.57% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 75.65% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 55.94% | 1.79 |
| 4.5 | 36.40% | 2.75 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 52.64 | 1.90% |
| 0-1 | 26.33 | 3.80% |
| 0-2 | 26.34 | 3.80% |
| 0-3 | 39.52 | 2.53% |
| 1-0 | 26.80 | 3.73% |
| 1-1 | 13.41 | 7.46% |
| 1-2 | 13.41 | 7.46% |
| 1-3 | 20.12 | 4.97% |
| 2-0 | 27.29 | 3.66% |
| 2-1 | 13.65 | 7.33% |
| 2-2 | 13.65 | 7.32% |
| 2-3 | 20.49 | 4.88% |
| 3-0 | 41.68 | 2.40% |
| 3-1 | 20.85 | 4.80% |
| 3-2 | 20.85 | 4.80% |
| 3-3 | 31.29 | 3.20% |
| Any Other Home Win | 8.21 | 12.19% |
| Any Other Away Win | 9.24 | 10.82% |
| Any Other Draw | 108.44 | 0.92% |