Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Girona is likely to win this match with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 36.79%, while a draw has a probability of 23.87%. The most likely scoreline for a Girona win is 2-1, with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 7.14% and 1-0 with a probability of 7.13%. The most probable Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 36.71%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Girona | Atletico Madrid | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.57 | 1.52 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 39.26% | 23.87% | 36.79% |
Imp Odds | 2.55 | 4.19 | 2.72 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.53% | 22.08 |
1.5 | 18.55% | 5.39 |
2.5 | 40.23% | 2.49 |
3.5 | 62.61% | 1.60 |
4.5 | 79.91% | 1.25 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.47% | 1.05 |
1.5 | 81.45% | 1.23 |
2.5 | 59.77% | 1.67 |
3.5 | 37.39% | 2.67 |
4.5 | 20.09% | 4.98 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 4.53% | 22.08 |
0-1 | 6.88% | 14.53 |
0-2 | 5.23% | 19.12 |
0-3 | 2.65% | 37.74 |
1-0 | 7.13% | 14.02 |
1-1 | 10.84% | 9.22 |
1-2 | 8.24% | 12.14 |
1-3 | 4.17% | 23.96 |
2-0 | 5.62% | 17.80 |
2-1 | 8.54% | 11.72 |
2-2 | 6.49% | 15.42 |
2-3 | 3.29% | 30.43 |
3-0 | 2.95% | 33.92 |
3-1 | 4.48% | 22.32 |
3-2 | 3.40% | 29.37 |
3-3 | 1.72% | 57.98 |
Any Other Home Win | 7.14% | 14.01 |
Any Other Away Win | 5.00% | 20.00 |
Any Other Draw | 0.28% | 351.58 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Girona | Atletico Madrid | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.76 | 1.35 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 47.15% | 23.33% | 29.47% |
Imp Odds | 2.12 | 4.29 | 3.39 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.50% | 22.21 |
1.5 | 18.47% | 5.42 |
2.5 | 40.11% | 2.49 |
3.5 | 62.48% | 1.60 |
4.5 | 79.81% | 1.25 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.50% | 1.05 |
1.5 | 81.53% | 1.23 |
2.5 | 59.89% | 1.67 |
3.5 | 37.52% | 2.66 |
4.5 | 20.19% | 4.95 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 22.21 | 4.50% |
0-1 | 16.51 | 6.06% |
0-2 | 24.54 | 4.07% |
0-3 | 54.73 | 1.83% |
1-0 | 12.65 | 7.90% |
1-1 | 9.41 | 10.63% |
1-2 | 13.98 | 7.15% |
1-3 | 31.18 | 3.21% |
2-0 | 14.42 | 6.94% |
2-1 | 10.72 | 9.33% |
2-2 | 15.93 | 6.28% |
2-3 | 35.54 | 2.81% |
3-0 | 24.64 | 4.06% |
3-1 | 18.32 | 5.46% |
3-2 | 27.24 | 3.67% |
3-3 | 60.74 | 1.65% |
Any Other Home Win | 10.21 | 9.79% |
Any Other Away Win | 28.15 | 3.55% |
Any Other Draw | 373.87 | 0.27% |