Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Osasuna is likely to win this match with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 23.19%, while a draw has a probability of 21.84%. The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.77% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.22%. The most probable Almeria win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.01%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.44%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Osasuna | Almeria | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.97 | 1.21 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 54.93% | 21.84% | 23.19% |
Imp Odds | 1.82 | 4.58 | 4.31 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.18% | 23.90 |
1.5 | 17.46% | 5.73 |
2.5 | 38.53% | 2.60 |
3.5 | 60.83% | 1.64 |
4.5 | 78.52% | 1.27 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.82% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 82.54% | 1.21 |
2.5 | 61.47% | 1.63 |
3.5 | 39.17% | 2.55 |
4.5 | 21.48% | 4.66 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 23.90 | 4.18% |
0-1 | 19.77 | 5.06% |
0-2 | 32.71 | 3.06% |
0-3 | 81.19 | 1.23% |
1-0 | 12.16 | 8.22% |
1-1 | 10.06 | 9.94% |
1-2 | 16.65 | 6.01% |
1-3 | 41.31 | 2.42% |
2-0 | 12.38 | 8.08% |
2-1 | 10.24 | 9.77% |
2-2 | 16.94 | 5.90% |
2-3 | 42.04 | 2.38% |
3-0 | 18.90 | 5.29% |
3-1 | 15.63 | 6.40% |
3-2 | 25.86 | 3.87% |
3-3 | 64.18 | 1.56% |
Any Other Home Win | 7.51 | 13.31% |
Any Other Away Win | 38.87 | 2.57% |
Any Other Draw | 392.41 | 0.25% |