Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 20.3% and a draw has a probability of 21.38%. The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 9.27% and 0-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.43%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.10 | 2.00 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 20.30% | 21.38% | 57.91% |
| Imp Odds | 4.93 | 4.68 | 1.73 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.51% | 22.16 |
| 1.5 | 18.49% | 5.41 |
| 2.5 | 40.15% | 2.49 |
| 3.5 | 62.52% | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 79.85% | 1.25 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.49% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.51% | 1.23 |
| 2.5 | 59.85% | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 37.48% | 2.67 |
| 4.5 | 20.15% | 4.96 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.16 | 4.51% |
| 0-1 | 11.07 | 9.03% |
| 0-2 | 11.06 | 9.04% |
| 0-3 | 16.58 | 6.03% |
| 1-0 | 20.20 | 4.95% |
| 1-1 | 10.09 | 9.91% |
| 1-2 | 10.09 | 9.91% |
| 1-3 | 15.12 | 6.61% |
| 2-0 | 36.84 | 2.71% |
| 2-1 | 18.41 | 5.43% |
| 2-2 | 18.39 | 5.44% |
| 2-3 | 27.57 | 3.63% |
| 3-0 | 100.78 | 0.99% |
| 3-1 | 50.35 | 1.99% |
| 3-2 | 50.31 | 1.99% |
| 3-3 | 75.41 | 1.33% |
| Any Other Home Win | 44.70 | 2.24% |
| Any Other Away Win | 10.79 | 9.27% |
| Any Other Draw | 502.70 | 0.20% |