Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Real Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 79.96%. A win for Mallorca has a probability of 7.86%, while a draw has a probability of 11.58%. The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 39.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 with a probability of 8.34% and 3-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The most probable Mallorca win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.32%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 4.74%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Real Madrid | Mallorca | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
3.22 | 0.98 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 79.96% | 11.58% | 7.86% |
Imp Odds | 1.25 | 8.63 | 12.71 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 1.50% | 66.59 |
1.5 | 7.81% | 12.81 |
2.5 | 21.04% | 4.75 |
3.5 | 39.57% | 2.53 |
4.5 | 59.01% | 1.69 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 98.50% | 1.02 |
1.5 | 92.19% | 1.08 |
2.5 | 78.96% | 1.27 |
3.5 | 60.43% | 1.65 |
4.5 | 40.99% | 2.44 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 66.59 | 1.50% |
0-1 | 67.91 | 1.47% |
0-2 | 138.54 | 0.72% |
0-3 | 423.89 | 0.24% |
1-0 | 20.69 | 4.83% |
1-1 | 21.10 | 4.74% |
1-2 | 43.05 | 2.32% |
1-3 | 131.72 | 0.76% |
2-0 | 12.86 | 7.78% |
2-1 | 13.12 | 7.62% |
2-2 | 26.76 | 3.74% |
2-3 | 81.87 | 1.22% |
3-0 | 11.99 | 8.34% |
3-1 | 12.23 | 8.18% |
3-2 | 24.94 | 4.01% |
3-3 | 76.32 | 1.31% |
Any Other Home Win | 2.55 | 39.20% |
Any Other Away Win | 94.19 | 1.06% |
Any Other Draw | 340.07 | 0.29% |