Based on XG, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Villarreal is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 12.55%, while a draw has a probability of 29.93%. The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 1-0, with a probability of 23.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 14.68% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.26%. The most probable Alaves win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.91%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 18.56%.
By Goals
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Villarreal | Alaves | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.26 | 0.43 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 57.52% | 29.93% | 12.55% |
| Imp Odds | 1.74 | 3.34 | 7.97 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 18.56% | 5.39 |
| 1.5 | 49.82% | 2.01 |
| 2.5 | 76.14% | 1.31 |
| 3.5 | 90.92% | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 97.14% | 1.03 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 81.44% | 1.23 |
| 1.5 | 50.18% | 1.99 |
| 2.5 | 23.86% | 4.19 |
| 3.5 | 9.08% | 11.01 |
| 4.5 | 2.86% | 34.94 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 18.56% | 5.39 |
| 0-1 | 7.91% | 12.64 |
| 0-2 | 1.69% | 59.28 |
| 0-3 | 0.24% | 417.14 |
| 1-0 | 23.34% | 4.28 |
| 1-1 | 9.95% | 10.05 |
| 1-2 | 2.12% | 47.13 |
| 1-3 | 0.30% | 331.62 |
| 2-0 | 14.68% | 6.81 |
| 2-1 | 6.26% | 15.97 |
| 2-2 | 1.33% | 74.94 |
| 2-3 | 0.19% | 527.28 |
| 3-0 | 6.16% | 16.24 |
| 3-1 | 2.62% | 38.10 |
| 3-2 | 0.56% | 178.72 |
| 3-3 | 0.08% | 1,257.57 |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.90% | 25.66 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.07% | 1,500.14 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 36,718.97 |