Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lyon is likely to win this match with a probability of **42.21%**. A win for Lorient has a probability of **31.93%**, while a draw has a probability of **25.76%**. The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 0-1, with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.87% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.24%. The most probable Lorient win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.24%.

This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on both teams to score for 1.75. The projected home team goals (Lorient) are 1.63 based on goal statistics, and 1.26 based on expected goals, or XG. The projected away goals (Lyon) are 1.41 based on goal statistics, and 1.45 based on expected goals or XG.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Lorient | Lyon | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.23 | 1.45 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 31.93% | 25.76% | 42.21% |

Imp Odds | 3.13 | 3.88 | 2.37 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 6.89% | 14.52 |

1.5 | 25.31% | 3.95 |

2.5 | 49.96% | 2.00 |

3.5 | 71.95% | 1.39 |

4.5 | 86.65% | 1.15 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 93.11% | 1.07 |

1.5 | 74.69% | 1.34 |

2.5 | 50.04% | 2.00 |

3.5 | 28.05% | 3.56 |

4.5 | 13.35% | 7.49 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 14.52 | 6.89% |

0-1 | 10.01 | 9.99% |

0-2 | 13.81 | 7.24% |

0-3 | 28.58 | 3.50% |

1-0 | 11.85 | 8.44% |

1-1 | 8.17 | 12.24% |

1-2 | 11.27 | 8.87% |

1-3 | 23.32 | 4.29% |

2-0 | 19.34 | 5.17% |

2-1 | 13.33 | 7.50% |

2-2 | 18.39 | 5.44% |

2-3 | 38.05 | 2.63% |

3-0 | 47.33 | 2.11% |

3-1 | 32.64 | 3.06% |

3-2 | 45.02 | 2.22% |

3-3 | 93.14 | 1.07% |

Any Other Home Win | 29.18 | 3.43% |

Any Other Away Win | 24.77 | 4.04% |

Any Other Draw | 780.23 | 0.13% |

**Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Ligue 1 matches.**