Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Reims is likely to win this match with a probability of 58.4%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 23.36%, while a draw has a probability of 17.36%. The most likely scoreline for a Reims win is “Any Other Away Wins“, with a probability of 23.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 7.14% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.67%. The most probable Lorient win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 7.96%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 6.36%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Reims to win the match, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.02 for Reims win, which is higher than the 1.71 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lorient | Reims | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.78 | 2.81 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 23.36% | 17.36% | 58.40% |
| Imp Odds | 4.28 | 5.76 | 1.71 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.02% | 98.31 |
| 1.5 | 5.68% | 17.59 |
| 2.5 | 16.39% | 6.10 |
| 3.5 | 32.76% | 3.05 |
| 4.5 | 51.55% | 1.94 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.98% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.32% | 1.06 |
| 2.5 | 83.61% | 1.20 |
| 3.5 | 67.24% | 1.49 |
| 4.5 | 48.45% | 2.06 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 1.02% | 98.31 |
| 0-1 | 2.85% | 35.04 |
| 0-2 | 4.00% | 24.98 |
| 0-3 | 3.74% | 26.72 |
| 1-0 | 1.81% | 55.14 |
| 1-1 | 5.09% | 19.66 |
| 1-2 | 7.14% | 14.01 |
| 1-3 | 6.67% | 14.99 |
| 2-0 | 1.62% | 61.86 |
| 2-1 | 4.54% | 22.05 |
| 2-2 | 6.36% | 15.72 |
| 2-3 | 5.95% | 16.81 |
| 3-0 | 0.96% | 104.09 |
| 3-1 | 2.70% | 37.10 |
| 3-2 | 3.78% | 26.45 |
| 3-3 | 3.53% | 28.29 |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.96% | 12.57 |
| Any Other Away Wins | 23.51% | 4.25 |
| Any Other Draw | 1.36% | 73.53 |
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lorient | Reims | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.92 | 2.03 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 16.26% | 20.65% | 62.58% |
| Imp Odds | 6.15 | 4.84 | 1.60 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.24% | 19.08 |
| 1.5 | 20.69% | 4.83 |
| 2.5 | 43.47% | 2.30 |
| 3.5 | 65.87% | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 82.38% | 1.21 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.76% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 79.31% | 1.26 |
| 2.5 | 56.53% | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 34.13% | 2.93 |
| 4.5 | 17.62% | 5.67 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 19.08 | 5.24% |
| 0-1 | 9.41 | 10.63% |
| 0-2 | 9.27 | 10.78% |
| 0-3 | 13.71 | 7.29% |
| 1-0 | 20.74 | 4.82% |
| 1-1 | 10.22 | 9.78% |
| 1-2 | 10.08 | 9.92% |
| 1-3 | 14.90 | 6.71% |
| 2-0 | 45.08 | 2.22% |
| 2-1 | 22.22 | 4.50% |
| 2-2 | 21.91 | 4.56% |
| 2-3 | 32.39 | 3.09% |
| 3-0 | 146.99 | 0.68% |
| 3-1 | 72.45 | 1.38% |
| 3-2 | 71.43 | 1.40% |
| 3-3 | 105.62 | 0.95% |
| Any Other Home Win | 79.45 | 1.26% |
| Any Other Away Win | 11.43 | 8.75% |
| Any Other Draw | 839.24 | 0.12% |
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