Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Monaco is likely to win this match with a probability of 62.18%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 15.54%, while a draw has a probability of 22.27%. The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 1-0, with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 12.26% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 11.26%. The most probable Lyon win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.75%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.51%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Monaco | Lyon | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.83 | 0.78 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 62.18% | 22.27% | 15.54% |
Imp Odds | 1.61 | 4.49 | 6.44 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 7.33% | 13.65 |
1.5 | 26.48% | 3.78 |
2.5 | 51.51% | 1.94 |
3.5 | 73.31% | 1.36 |
4.5 | 87.55% | 1.14 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 92.67% | 1.08 |
1.5 | 73.52% | 1.36 |
2.5 | 48.49% | 2.06 |
3.5 | 26.69% | 3.75 |
4.5 | 12.45% | 8.03 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 13.65 | 7.33% |
0-1 | 17.40 | 5.75% |
0-2 | 44.36 | 2.25% |
0-3 | 169.68 | 0.59% |
1-0 | 7.46 | 13.40% |
1-1 | 9.51 | 10.51% |
1-2 | 24.25 | 4.12% |
1-3 | 92.77 | 1.08% |
2-0 | 8.16 | 12.26% |
2-1 | 10.40 | 9.61% |
2-2 | 26.52 | 3.77% |
2-3 | 101.43 | 0.99% |
3-0 | 13.38 | 7.47% |
3-1 | 17.06 | 5.86% |
3-2 | 43.50 | 2.30% |
3-3 | 166.37 | 0.60% |
Any Other Home Win | 8.88 | 11.26% |
Any Other Away Win | 159.56 | 0.63% |
Any Other Draw | 1,750.87 | 0.06% |