Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Strasbourg win with a probability of 79.26%. A win for Lens has a probability of 6.58% and a draw has a probability of 14.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 24.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 14.29% and 3-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The likeliest Lens win is 0-1 with a probability of 2.65%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.64%).
This match is interesting for betting on the home team (Strasbourg), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.26 compared to around 3.35.
Check out free Ligue 1 predictions on other matches.
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Strasbourg | Lens | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.51 | 0.58 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 79.26% | 14.04% | 6.58% |
| Imp Odds | 1.26 | 7.12 | 15.19 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.54% | 22.04 |
| 1.5 | 18.57% | 5.38 |
| 2.5 | 40.27% | 2.48 |
| 3.5 | 62.65% | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 79.95% | 1.25 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.46% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.43% | 1.23 |
| 2.5 | 59.73% | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 37.35% | 2.68 |
| 4.5 | 20.05% | 4.99 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.04 | 4.54% |
| 0-1 | 37.80 | 2.65% |
| 0-2 | 129.71 | 0.77% |
| 0-3 | 667.59 | 0.15% |
| 1-0 | 8.78 | 11.39% |
| 1-1 | 15.06 | 6.64% |
| 1-2 | 51.68 | 1.93% |
| 1-3 | 265.99 | 0.38% |
| 2-0 | 7.00 | 14.29% |
| 2-1 | 12.00 | 8.33% |
| 2-2 | 41.18 | 2.43% |
| 2-3 | 211.97 | 0.47% |
| 3-0 | 8.36 | 11.96% |
| 3-1 | 14.35 | 6.97% |
| 3-2 | 49.23 | 2.03% |
| 3-3 | 253.37 | 0.39% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.12 | 24.29% |
| Any Other Away Win | 477.85 | 0.21% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,611.80 | 0.04% |