Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 74.17%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 8.74% and a draw has a probability of 17.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 18.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 14.49% and 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The likeliest Aston Villa win is 0-1 with a probability of 3.6%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).
By Goals
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.22 | 0.61 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 74.17% | 17.04% | 8.74% |
| Imp Odds | 1.35 | 5.87 | 11.45 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.87% | 17.03 |
| 1.5 | 22.51% | 4.44 |
| 2.5 | 46.11% | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 68.41% | 1.46 |
| 4.5 | 84.21% | 1.19 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.13% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 77.49% | 1.29 |
| 2.5 | 53.89% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 31.59% | 3.17 |
| 4.5 | 15.79% | 6.33 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.87% | 17.03 |
| 0-1 | 3.60% | 27.79 |
| 0-2 | 1.10% | 90.66 |
| 0-3 | 0.23% | 443.66 |
| 1-0 | 13.05% | 7.67 |
| 1-1 | 8.00% | 12.50 |
| 1-2 | 2.45% | 40.80 |
| 1-3 | 0.50% | 199.64 |
| 2-0 | 14.49% | 6.90 |
| 2-1 | 8.89% | 11.25 |
| 2-2 | 2.72% | 36.72 |
| 2-3 | 0.56% | 179.68 |
| 3-0 | 10.74% | 9.31 |
| 3-1 | 6.58% | 15.19 |
| 3-2 | 2.02% | 49.57 |
| 3-3 | 0.41% | 242.57 |
| Any Other Home Win | 18.41% | 5.43 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.26% | 383.22 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,696.32 |