Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Chelsea is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.67%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 23.48%, while a draw has a probability of 20.79%. The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.5% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.18%. The most probable Crystal Palace win is 0-1 with a probability of 8%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.03%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Chelsea | Crystal Palace | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.12 | 1.32 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 55.67% | 20.79% | 23.48% |
Imp Odds | 1.80 | 4.81 | 4.26 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.19% | 31.33 |
1.5 | 14.18% | 7.05 |
2.5 | 33.12% | 3.02 |
3.5 | 54.86% | 1.82 |
4.5 | 73.58% | 1.36 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.81% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 85.82% | 1.17 |
2.5 | 66.88% | 1.50 |
3.5 | 45.14% | 2.22 |
4.5 | 26.42% | 3.79 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 31.33 | 3.19% |
0-1 | 23.67 | 4.22% |
0-2 | 35.76 | 2.80% |
0-3 | 81.05 | 1.23% |
1-0 | 14.77 | 6.77% |
1-1 | 11.16 | 8.96% |
1-2 | 16.86 | 5.93% |
1-3 | 38.21 | 2.62% |
2-0 | 13.93 | 7.18% |
2-1 | 10.52 | 9.50% |
2-2 | 15.90 | 6.29% |
2-3 | 36.03 | 2.78% |
3-0 | 19.70 | 5.07% |
3-1 | 14.89 | 6.72% |
3-2 | 22.49 | 4.45% |
3-3 | 50.97 | 1.96% |
Any Other Home Win | 6.26 | 15.98% |
Any Other Away Win | 29.60 | 3.38% |
Any Other Draw | 258.97 | 0.39% |