Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Manchester City is likely to win this match with a probability of 63%. A win for Tottenham has a probability of 17.04%, while a draw has a probability of 19.92%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.9% and 2-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The most probable Tottenham win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.57%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-2 with a probability of 4.72%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Manchester City | Tottenham | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.15 | 1.02 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 63.00% | 19.92% | 17.04% |
| Imp Odds | 1.59 | 5.02 | 5.87 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.20% | 23.80 |
| 1.5 | 17.52% | 5.71 |
| 2.5 | 38.63% | 2.59 |
| 3.5 | 60.93% | 1.64 |
| 4.5 | 78.60% | 1.27 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.80% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 82.48% | 1.21 |
| 2.5 | 61.37% | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 39.07% | 2.56 |
| 4.5 | 21.40% | 4.67 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 4.20% | 23.80 |
| 0-1 | 4.30% | 23.26 |
| 0-2 | 2.20% | 45.47 |
| 0-3 | 0.75% | 133.35 |
| 1-0 | 9.02% | 11.09 |
| 1-1 | 9.23% | 10.84 |
| 1-2 | 4.72% | 21.19 |
| 1-3 | 1.61% | 62.13 |
| 2-0 | 9.68% | 10.33 |
| 2-1 | 9.90% | 10.10 |
| 2-2 | 5.07% | 19.74 |
| 2-3 | 1.73% | 57.89 |
| 3-0 | 6.93% | 14.44 |
| 3-1 | 7.09% | 14.11 |
| 3-2 | 3.62% | 27.59 |
| 3-3 | 1.24% | 80.90 |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.75% | 5.97 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.50% | 66.61 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.19% | 539.12 |