Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Manchester United is likely to win this match with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 39.05%, while a draw has a probability of 20.92%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-1 with a probability of 7.49%. The most probable Aston Villa win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 10.2%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.61%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on over 2.5, with bookmakers offering average odds of 1.65, and predicted total goals of the match 3.92 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Goals Over/Under Based on XG