Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tottenham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 35.42% and a draw has a probability of 22.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.53% and 1-0 with a probability of 5.81%. The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.78%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.51%).
This match is interesting for betting on the home team (Tottenham), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 2.38 compared to around 3.
Check out free Premier League predictions on other matches.
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Tottenham | Liverpool | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.79 | 1.64 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 42.02% | 22.47% | 35.42% |
| Imp Odds | 2.38 | 4.45 | 2.82 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.24% | 30.85 |
| 1.5 | 14.36% | 6.97 |
| 2.5 | 33.41% | 2.99 |
| 3.5 | 55.20% | 1.81 |
| 4.5 | 73.87% | 1.35 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.76% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.64% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 66.59% | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 44.80% | 2.23 |
| 4.5 | 26.13% | 3.83 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 30.85 | 3.24% |
| 0-1 | 18.86 | 5.30% |
| 0-2 | 23.06 | 4.34% |
| 0-3 | 42.29 | 2.36% |
| 1-0 | 17.20 | 5.81% |
| 1-1 | 10.52 | 9.51% |
| 1-2 | 12.86 | 7.78% |
| 1-3 | 23.58 | 4.24% |
| 2-0 | 19.18 | 5.21% |
| 2-1 | 11.73 | 8.53% |
| 2-2 | 14.34 | 6.97% |
| 2-3 | 26.30 | 3.80% |
| 3-0 | 32.09 | 3.12% |
| 3-1 | 19.62 | 5.10% |
| 3-2 | 23.99 | 4.17% |
| 3-3 | 43.99 | 2.27% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.92 | 10.08% |
| Any Other Away Win | 15.91 | 6.28% |
| Any Other Draw | 212.77 | 0.47% |