Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ural win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Baltika has a probability of 8.16% and a draw has a probability of 40.12%. The most likely scoreline for a Ural win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 0-2 (3.84%). The likeliest Baltika win is 1-0 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.55%).