Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Fakel has a probability of 20.81% and a draw has a probability of 32.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (4.02%) and 1-2 (2.55%). The likeliest Fakel win is 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (1.6%).
By XG
By XG