Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sochi win with a probability of 84.88%. A win for FC Rostov has a probability of 5.06% and a draw has a probability of 9.19%. The most likely scoreline for a PFC Sochi win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 24.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Rostov win is 0-1 (0.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (1.6%).
Sochi is clearly the frontrunner and a strong favorite for this match. It’s evident that Sochi holds a significant advantage going into this match.”