Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Cagliari will likely win this match with a probability of **39.7%**. A win for Torino has a probability of **29.06%**, while a draw has a probability of **31.22%**. The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 8.23% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.15%. The most probable Torino win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.41%.

This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider **betting on Cagliari not to lose**, as bookmakers are offering average odds of **3.4** for **Cagliari **win, which is higher than the **2.52** calculated by our model.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Cagliari | Torino | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.07 | 0.87 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 39.70% | 31.22% | 29.06% |

Imp Odds | 2.52 | 3.20 | 3.44 |

## Goals Over/Under

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 14.41% | 6.94 |

1.5 | 42.32% | 2.36 |

2.5 | 69.36% | 1.44 |

3.5 | 86.82% | 1.15 |

4.5 | 95.28% | 1.05 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 85.59% | 1.17 |

1.5 | 57.68% | 1.73 |

2.5 | 30.64% | 3.26 |

3.5 | 13.18% | 7.59 |

4.5 | 4.72% | 21.19 |

## Correct Score

Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |

0-0 | 14.41% | 6.94 |

0-1 | 12.51% | 7.99 |

0-2 | 5.43% | 18.41 |

0-3 | 1.57% | 63.60 |

1-0 | 15.40% | 6.49 |

1-1 | 13.37% | 7.48 |

1-2 | 5.81% | 17.22 |

1-3 | 1.68% | 59.48 |

2-0 | 8.23% | 12.15 |

2-1 | 7.15% | 13.99 |

2-2 | 3.10% | 32.21 |

2-3 | 0.90% | 111.27 |

3-0 | 2.93% | 34.08 |

3-1 | 2.55% | 39.24 |

3-2 | 1.11% | 90.38 |

3-3 | 0.32% | 312.22 |

Any Other Home Win | 2.33% | 42.93 |

Any Other Away Win | 0.76% | 131.43 |

Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,182.83 |