Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Inter is likely to win this match with a probability of 79.55%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 6.76%, while a draw has a probability of 13.54%. The most likely scoreline for a Inter win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 26.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.26% and 3-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 2.46%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.44%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Inter | Lecce | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.61 | 0.63 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 79.55% | 13.54% | 6.76% |
Imp Odds | 1.26 | 7.39 | 14.79 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.88% | 25.77 |
1.5 | 16.49% | 6.06 |
2.5 | 36.97% | 2.70 |
3.5 | 59.16% | 1.69 |
4.5 | 77.18% | 1.30 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.12% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 83.51% | 1.20 |
2.5 | 63.03% | 1.59 |
3.5 | 40.84% | 2.45 |
4.5 | 22.82% | 4.38 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 3.88% | 25.77 |
0-1 | 2.46% | 40.60 |
0-2 | 0.78% | 127.92 |
0-3 | 0.17% | 604.58 |
1-0 | 10.15% | 9.86 |
1-1 | 6.44% | 15.53 |
1-2 | 2.04% | 48.93 |
1-3 | 0.43% | 231.25 |
2-0 | 13.26% | 7.54 |
2-1 | 8.42% | 11.88 |
2-2 | 2.67% | 37.43 |
2-3 | 0.57% | 176.90 |
3-0 | 11.56% | 8.65 |
3-1 | 7.34% | 13.63 |
3-2 | 2.33% | 42.95 |
3-3 | 0.49% | 202.98 |
Any Other Home Win | 26.50% | 3.77 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.28% | 360.14 |
Any Other Draw | 0.05% | 1,829.74 |