Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lazio is likely to win this match with a probability of 61.9%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 12.35%, while a draw has a probability of 25.75%. The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0, with a probability of 20.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.12% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.67%. The most probable Cagliari win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.8%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.31%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Cagliari | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.50 | 0.51 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 61.90% | 25.75% | 12.35% |
| Imp Odds | 1.62 | 3.88 | 8.10 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.41% | 7.46 |
| 1.5 | 40.36% | 2.48 |
| 2.5 | 67.43% | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 85.55% | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 94.65% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.59% | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | 59.64% | 1.68 |
| 2.5 | 32.57% | 3.07 |
| 3.5 | 14.45% | 6.92 |
| 4.5 | 5.35% | 18.70 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.46 | 13.41% |
| 0-1 | 14.70 | 6.80% |
| 0-2 | 57.95 | 1.73% |
| 0-3 | 342.74 | 0.29% |
| 1-0 | 4.96 | 20.14% |
| 1-1 | 9.79 | 10.22% |
| 1-2 | 38.59 | 2.59% |
| 1-3 | 228.24 | 0.44% |
| 2-0 | 6.61 | 15.12% |
| 2-1 | 13.04 | 7.67% |
| 2-2 | 51.40 | 1.95% |
| 2-3 | 303.97 | 0.33% |
| 3-0 | 13.21 | 7.57% |
| 3-1 | 26.04 | 3.84% |
| 3-2 | 102.67 | 0.97% |
| 3-3 | 607.25 | 0.16% |
| Any Other Home Win | 15.21 | 6.57% |
| Any Other Away Win | 756.81 | 0.13% |
| Any Other Draw | 12,369.96 | 0.01% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Cagliari | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.56 | 0.38 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 66.88% | 24.32% | 8.79% |
| Imp Odds | 1.50 | 4.11 | 11.38 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.37% | 6.96 |
| 1.5 | 42.25% | 2.37 |
| 2.5 | 69.30% | 1.44 |
| 3.5 | 86.78% | 1.15 |
| 4.5 | 95.26% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.63% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 57.75% | 1.73 |
| 2.5 | 30.70% | 3.26 |
| 3.5 | 13.22% | 7.57 |
| 4.5 | 4.74% | 21.10 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 14.37% | 6.96 |
| 0-1 | 5.51% | 18.13 |
| 0-2 | 1.06% | 94.52 |
| 0-3 | 0.14% | 738.99 |
| 1-0 | 22.37% | 4.47 |
| 1-1 | 8.58% | 11.65 |
| 1-2 | 1.65% | 60.74 |
| 1-3 | 0.21% | 474.90 |
| 2-0 | 17.40% | 5.75 |
| 2-1 | 6.68% | 14.98 |
| 2-2 | 1.28% | 78.07 |
| 2-3 | 0.16% | 610.37 |
| 3-0 | 9.03% | 11.08 |
| 3-1 | 3.46% | 28.87 |
| 3-2 | 0.66% | 150.50 |
| 3-3 | 0.08% | 1,176.74 |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.28% | 13.73 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.05% | 2,085.90 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 30,786.60 |