Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan is likely to win this match with a probability of 72.56%. A win for Frosinone has a probability of 6.8%, while a draw has a probability of 20.62%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is 1-0, with a probability of 20.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 18.64% and 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The most probable Frosinone win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.24%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 11.79%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.78 | 0.36 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 72.56% | 20.62% | 6.80% |
| Imp Odds | 1.38 | 4.85 | 14.70 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.79% | 8.48 |
| 1.5 | 36.99% | 2.70 |
| 2.5 | 63.94% | 1.56 |
| 3.5 | 83.14% | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 93.40% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.21% | 1.13 |
| 1.5 | 63.01% | 1.59 |
| 2.5 | 36.06% | 2.77 |
| 3.5 | 16.86% | 5.93 |
| 4.5 | 6.60% | 15.16 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 11.79% | 8.48 |
| 0-1 | 4.24% | 23.58 |
| 0-2 | 0.76% | 131.13 |
| 0-3 | 0.09% | 1,093.59 |
| 1-0 | 20.96% | 4.77 |
| 1-1 | 7.54% | 13.26 |
| 1-2 | 1.36% | 73.73 |
| 1-3 | 0.16% | 614.93 |
| 2-0 | 18.64% | 5.36 |
| 2-1 | 6.71% | 14.91 |
| 2-2 | 1.21% | 82.92 |
| 2-3 | 0.14% | 691.56 |
| 3-0 | 11.05% | 9.05 |
| 3-1 | 3.97% | 25.16 |
| 3-2 | 0.71% | 139.88 |
| 3-3 | 0.09% | 1,166.60 |
| Any Other Home Win | 10.51% | 9.51 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.04% | 2,610.49 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 28,437.37 |