Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Roma is likely to win this match with a probability of 62.62%. A win for Udinese has a probability of 14.9%, while a draw has a probability of 22.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 12.76% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 10.79%. The most probable Udinese win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.84%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.51%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Roma | Udinese | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.80 | 0.74 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.62% | 22.47% | 14.90% |
| Imp Odds | 1.60 | 4.45 | 6.71 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.88% | 12.68 |
| 1.5 | 27.91% | 3.58 |
| 2.5 | 53.35% | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 74.89% | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 88.57% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.12% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 72.09% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.65% | 2.14 |
| 3.5 | 25.11% | 3.98 |
| 4.5 | 11.43% | 8.75 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.68 | 7.88% |
| 0-1 | 17.11 | 5.84% |
| 0-2 | 46.17 | 2.17% |
| 0-3 | 186.86 | 0.54% |
| 1-0 | 7.05 | 14.18% |
| 1-1 | 9.51 | 10.51% |
| 1-2 | 25.66 | 3.90% |
| 1-3 | 103.86 | 0.96% |
| 2-0 | 7.84 | 12.76% |
| 2-1 | 10.57 | 9.46% |
| 2-2 | 28.53 | 3.51% |
| 2-3 | 115.46 | 0.87% |
| 3-0 | 13.07 | 7.65% |
| 3-1 | 17.63 | 5.67% |
| 3-2 | 47.57 | 2.10% |
| 3-3 | 192.52 | 0.52% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.27 | 10.79% |
| Any Other Away Win | 193.71 | 0.52% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,188.61 | 0.05% |
Goals
Full-time Result Based on Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Roma | Udinese | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.84 | 0.48 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 70.51% | 20.59% | 8.89% |
| Imp Odds | 1.42 | 4.86 | 11.25 |
Goals Over/Under Based on Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.79% | 10.21 |
| 1.5 | 32.54% | 3.07 |
| 2.5 | 58.98% | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 79.45% | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 91.34% | 1.09 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.21% | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | 67.46% | 1.48 |
| 2.5 | 41.02% | 2.44 |
| 3.5 | 20.55% | 4.87 |
| 4.5 | 8.66% | 11.55 |
Correct Score Based on Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 9.79% | 10.21 |
| 0-1 | 4.71% | 21.23 |
| 0-2 | 1.13% | 88.29 |
| 0-3 | 0.18% | 550.69 |
| 1-0 | 18.04% | 5.54 |
| 1-1 | 8.68% | 11.52 |
| 1-2 | 2.09% | 47.91 |
| 1-3 | 0.33% | 298.84 |
| 2-0 | 16.62% | 6.02 |
| 2-1 | 8.00% | 12.51 |
| 2-2 | 1.92% | 52.00 |
| 2-3 | 0.31% | 324.34 |
| 3-0 | 10.21% | 9.79 |
| 3-1 | 4.91% | 20.36 |
| 3-2 | 1.18% | 84.66 |
| 3-3 | 0.19% | 528.03 |
| Any Other Home Win | 11.54% | 8.66 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.11% | 895.48 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 9,197.34 |