Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.47%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 14.32%, while a draw has a probability of 20.69%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is 0-1, with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 12.15% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The most probable Salernitana win is 1-0 with a probability of 4.97%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.83%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Salernitana | AC Milan | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.80 | 1.98 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 14.32% | 20.69% | 64.47% |
Imp Odds | 6.99 | 4.83 | 1.55 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 6.20% | 16.13 |
1.5 | 23.44% | 4.27 |
2.5 | 47.41% | 2.11 |
3.5 | 69.62% | 1.44 |
4.5 | 85.07% | 1.18 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 93.80% | 1.07 |
1.5 | 76.56% | 1.31 |
2.5 | 52.59% | 1.90 |
3.5 | 30.38% | 3.29 |
4.5 | 14.93% | 6.70 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 16.13 | 6.20% |
0-1 | 8.15 | 12.27% |
0-2 | 8.23 | 12.15% |
0-3 | 12.48 | 8.02% |
1-0 | 20.14 | 4.97% |
1-1 | 10.17 | 9.83% |
1-2 | 10.28 | 9.73% |
1-3 | 15.57 | 6.42% |
2-0 | 50.27 | 1.99% |
2-1 | 25.39 | 3.94% |
2-2 | 25.66 | 3.90% |
2-3 | 38.88 | 2.57% |
3-0 | 188.27 | 0.53% |
3-1 | 95.10 | 1.05% |
3-2 | 96.08 | 1.04% |
3-3 | 145.60 | 0.69% |
Any Other Home Win | 125.26 | 0.80% |
Any Other Away Win | 13.20 | 7.58% |
Any Other Draw | 1,377.64 | 0.07% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Salernitana | AC Milan | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.07 | 3.33 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 8.24% | 11.41% | 77.56% |
Imp Odds | 12.13 | 8.76 | 1.29 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 1.23% | 81.45 |
1.5 | 6.63% | 15.08 |
2.5 | 18.51% | 5.40 |
3.5 | 35.94% | 2.78 |
4.5 | 55.12% | 1.81 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 98.77% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 93.37% | 1.07 |
2.5 | 81.49% | 1.23 |
3.5 | 64.06% | 1.56 |
4.5 | 44.88% | 2.23 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 1.23% | 81.45 |
0-1 | 4.09% | 24.44 |
0-2 | 6.82% | 14.67 |
0-3 | 7.57% | 13.21 |
1-0 | 1.31% | 76.30 |
1-1 | 4.37% | 22.90 |
1-2 | 7.28% | 13.74 |
1-3 | 8.08% | 12.37 |
2-0 | 0.70% | 142.94 |
2-1 | 2.33% | 42.89 |
2-2 | 3.88% | 25.74 |
2-3 | 4.32% | 23.17 |
3-0 | 0.25% | 401.66 |
3-1 | 0.83% | 120.53 |
3-2 | 1.38% | 72.34 |
3-3 | 1.54% | 65.12 |
Any Other Home Win | 1.44% | 69.39 |
Any Other Away Win | 27.03% | 3.70 |
Any Other Draw | 0.40% | 253.03 |