Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win, with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Lazio has a probability of 25.01%, and a draw has a probability of 21.28%. The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is “Any Other Home Win,” with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.46% and 2-0 with a probability of 7%. The most probable Lazio win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.23%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.21%.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Sassuolo | Lazio | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.05 | 1.35 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 53.65% | 21.28% | 25.01% |
| Imp Odds | 1.86 | 4.70 | 4.00 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.32% | 30.15 |
| 1.5 | 14.61% | 6.84 |
| 2.5 | 33.86% | 2.95 |
| 3.5 | 55.70% | 1.80 |
| 4.5 | 74.30% | 1.35 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.68% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.39% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 66.14% | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 44.30% | 2.26 |
| 4.5 | 25.70% | 3.89 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 30.15 | 3.32% |
| 0-1 | 22.30 | 4.49% |
| 0-2 | 32.98 | 3.03% |
| 0-3 | 73.16 | 1.37% |
| 1-0 | 14.68 | 6.81% |
| 1-1 | 10.86 | 9.21% |
| 1-2 | 16.06 | 6.23% |
| 1-3 | 35.62 | 2.81% |
| 2-0 | 14.29 | 7.00% |
| 2-1 | 10.57 | 9.46% |
| 2-2 | 15.63 | 6.40% |
| 2-3 | 34.68 | 2.88% |
| 3-0 | 20.88 | 4.79% |
| 3-1 | 15.44 | 6.48% |
| 3-2 | 22.84 | 4.38% |
| 3-3 | 50.66 | 1.97% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.79 | 14.73% |
| Any Other Away Win | 27.66 | 3.61% |
| Any Other Draw | 260.55 | 0.38% |
Other Information
| Total avg. home goal per game scored | 1.549441667 |
| Total avg. away goal per game scored | 1.091241667 |
| Avg home team goal per game scored at home | 1.56 |
| Avg away team goal per game conceded away | 2.04 |
| Avg away team goal per game scored away | 1.12 |
| Avg home team goal per game conceded at home | 1.3175 |
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Sassuolo | Lazio | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.33 | 1.37 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 58.88% | 19.40% | 21.63% |
| Imp Odds | 1.70 | 5.16 | 4.62 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.47% | 40.43 |
| 1.5 | 11.62% | 8.60 |
| 2.5 | 28.55% | 3.50 |
| 3.5 | 49.42% | 2.02 |
| 4.5 | 68.73% | 1.45 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.53% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.38% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.45% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 50.58% | 1.98 |
| 4.5 | 31.27% | 3.20 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 2.47% | 40.43 |
| 0-1 | 3.39% | 29.54 |
| 0-2 | 2.32% | 43.16 |
| 0-3 | 1.06% | 94.58 |
| 1-0 | 5.76% | 17.35 |
| 1-1 | 7.89% | 12.67 |
| 1-2 | 5.40% | 18.52 |
| 1-3 | 2.46% | 40.58 |
| 2-0 | 6.72% | 14.88 |
| 2-1 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
| 2-2 | 6.29% | 15.89 |
| 2-3 | 2.87% | 34.82 |
| 3-0 | 5.22% | 19.16 |
| 3-1 | 7.14% | 14.00 |
| 3-2 | 4.89% | 20.45 |
| 3-3 | 2.23% | 44.82 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.94% | 5.01 |
| Any Other Away Win | 3.67% | 27.25 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.51% | 197.23 |
Other Information
| Total avg. home goal per game scored | 1.501666667 |
| Total avg. away goal per game scored | 1.095833333 |
| Avg home team goal per game scored at home | 1.75 |
| Avg away team goal per game conceded away | 2 |
| Avg away team goal per game scored away | 1 |
| Avg home team goal per game conceded at home | 1.5 |