Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 21.21% and a draw has a probability of 25.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.59% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.63%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).
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By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lens | Toulouse | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.57 | 0.88 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 53.38% | 25.41% | 21.21% |
| Imp Odds | 1.87 | 3.94 | 4.72 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.64% | 11.58 |
| 1.5 | 29.79% | 3.36 |
| 2.5 | 55.70% | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 76.84% | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 89.79% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.36% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 70.21% | 1.42 |
| 2.5 | 44.30% | 2.26 |
| 3.5 | 23.16% | 4.32 |
| 4.5 | 10.21% | 9.79 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.58 | 8.64% |
| 0-1 | 13.11 | 7.63% |
| 0-2 | 29.69 | 3.37% |
| 0-3 | 100.85 | 0.99% |
| 1-0 | 7.39 | 13.53% |
| 1-1 | 8.37 | 11.95% |
| 1-2 | 18.96 | 5.27% |
| 1-3 | 64.41 | 1.55% |
| 2-0 | 9.44 | 10.59% |
| 2-1 | 10.69 | 9.35% |
| 2-2 | 24.22 | 4.13% |
| 2-3 | 82.26 | 1.22% |
| 3-0 | 18.09 | 5.53% |
| 3-1 | 20.49 | 4.88% |
| 3-2 | 46.39 | 2.16% |
| 3-3 | 157.60 | 0.63% |
| Any Other Home Win | 13.62 | 7.34% |
| Any Other Away Win | 108.93 | 0.92% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,724.39 | 0.06% |
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lens | Toulouse | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.31 | 0.54 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 16.62% | 50.23% | 33.14% |
| Imp Odds | 6.02 | 1.99 | 3.02 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 42.82% | 2.34 |
| 1.5 | 79.14% | 1.26 |
| 2.5 | 94.54% | 1.06 |
| 3.5 | 98.89% | 1.01 |
| 4.5 | 99.82% | 1.00 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 57.18% | 1.75 |
| 1.5 | 20.86% | 4.79 |
| 2.5 | 5.46% | 18.32 |
| 3.5 | 1.11% | 90.49 |
| 4.5 | 0.18% | 550.14 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 42.82% | 2.34 |
| 0-1 | 23.18% | 4.31 |
| 0-2 | 6.27% | 15.94 |
| 0-3 | 1.13% | 88.32 |
| 1-0 | 13.14% | 7.61 |
| 1-1 | 7.11% | 14.06 |
| 1-2 | 1.93% | 51.94 |
| 1-3 | 0.35% | 287.86 |
| 2-0 | 2.02% | 49.62 |
| 2-1 | 1.09% | 91.65 |
| 2-2 | 0.30% | 338.60 |
| 2-3 | 0.05% | 1,876.43 |
| 3-0 | 0.21% | 485.14 |
| 3-1 | 0.11% | 896.16 |
| 3-2 | 0.03% | 3,310.80 |
| 3-3 | 0.01% | 18,347.33 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.03% | 3,464.89 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.06% | 1,625.90 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 1,755,665.58 |