Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.88%. A win for Bournemouth has a probability of 9.54% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%. The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 0-1 with a probability of 21.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 16.87% and 0-3 with a probability of 8.82%. The likeliest Bournemouth win is 1-0 with a probability of 5.74%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (13.72%).
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By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bournemouth | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.42 | 1.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 9.54% | 24.30% | 65.88% |
| Imp Odds | 10.49 | 4.12 | 1.52 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.72% | 7.29 |
| 1.5 | 40.96% | 2.44 |
| 2.5 | 68.03% | 1.47 |
| 3.5 | 85.95% | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 94.85% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.28% | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | 59.04% | 1.69 |
| 2.5 | 31.97% | 3.13 |
| 3.5 | 14.05% | 7.12 |
| 4.5 | 5.15% | 19.43 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.29 | 13.72% |
| 0-1 | 4.65 | 21.51% |
| 0-2 | 5.93 | 16.87% |
| 0-3 | 11.34 | 8.82% |
| 1-0 | 17.44 | 5.74% |
| 1-1 | 11.12 | 9.00% |
| 1-2 | 14.17 | 7.05% |
| 1-3 | 27.11 | 3.69% |
| 2-0 | 83.39 | 1.20% |
| 2-1 | 53.17 | 1.88% |
| 2-2 | 67.79 | 1.48% |
| 2-3 | 129.67 | 0.77% |
| 3-0 | 598.29 | 0.17% |
| 3-1 | 381.44 | 0.26% |
| 3-2 | 486.37 | 0.21% |
| 3-3 | 930.25 | 0.11% |
| Any Other Home Win | 1,176.62 | 0.08% |
| Any Other Away Win | 39.36 | 2.54% |
| Any Other Draw | 22,101.96 | 0.00% |