Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Real Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 76.68%. A win for Granada has a probability of 8.93%, while a draw has a probability of 14.19%. The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 28.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.68% and 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The most probable Granada win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.71%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.54%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Real Madrid | Granada | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.71 | 0.83 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 76.68% | 14.19% | 8.93% |
| Imp Odds | 1.30 | 7.05 | 11.20 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.92% | 34.27 |
| 1.5 | 13.23% | 7.56 |
| 2.5 | 31.46% | 3.18 |
| 3.5 | 52.93% | 1.89 |
| 4.5 | 71.90% | 1.39 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.08% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 86.77% | 1.15 |
| 2.5 | 68.54% | 1.46 |
| 3.5 | 47.07% | 2.12 |
| 4.5 | 28.10% | 3.56 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 34.27 | 2.92% |
| 0-1 | 41.33 | 2.42% |
| 0-2 | 99.70 | 1.00% |
| 0-3 | 360.74 | 0.28% |
| 1-0 | 12.67 | 7.89% |
| 1-1 | 15.28 | 6.54% |
| 1-2 | 36.86 | 2.71% |
| 1-3 | 133.36 | 0.75% |
| 2-0 | 9.37 | 10.68% |
| 2-1 | 11.30 | 8.85% |
| 2-2 | 27.25 | 3.67% |
| 2-3 | 98.59 | 1.01% |
| 3-0 | 10.39 | 9.63% |
| 3-1 | 12.53 | 7.98% |
| 3-2 | 30.22 | 3.31% |
| 3-3 | 109.34 | 0.91% |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.53 | 28.34% |
| Any Other Away Win | 145.31 | 0.69% |
| Any Other Draw | 711.98 | 0.14% |