Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bochum will likely win this match with a probability of 59.07%. A win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 19.49%, while a draw has a probability of 21.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Bochum win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.94% and 2-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The most probable Werder Bremen win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.26%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.01%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity for Bochum’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 2.22, much higher than the 1.69 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Bochum | Werder Bremen | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.99 | 1.05 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 59.07% | 21.41% | 19.49% |
Imp Odds | 1.69 | 4.67 | 5.13 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.79% | 20.89 |
1.5 | 19.34% | 5.17 |
2.5 | 41.45% | 2.41 |
3.5 | 63.85% | 1.57 |
4.5 | 80.87% | 1.24 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.21% | 1.05 |
1.5 | 80.66% | 1.24 |
2.5 | 58.55% | 1.71 |
3.5 | 36.15% | 2.77 |
4.5 | 19.13% | 5.23 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 4.79% | 20.89 |
0-1 | 5.03% | 19.86 |
0-2 | 2.65% | 37.79 |
0-3 | 0.93% | 107.83 |
1-0 | 9.52% | 10.51 |
1-1 | 10.01% | 9.99 |
1-2 | 5.26% | 19.01 |
1-3 | 1.84% | 54.25 |
2-0 | 9.46% | 10.57 |
2-1 | 9.94% | 10.06 |
2-2 | 5.23% | 19.13 |
2-3 | 1.83% | 54.58 |
3-0 | 6.27% | 15.96 |
3-1 | 6.59% | 15.18 |
3-2 | 3.46% | 28.87 |
3-3 | 1.21% | 82.38 |
Any Other Home Win | 13.83% | 7.23 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.65% | 60.47 |
Any Other Draw | 0.17% | 579.40 |