Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina will likely win this match with a probability of 68.65%. A win for Udinese has a probability of 10.28%, while a draw has a probability of 21.05%. The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0, with a probability of 16.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.56% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The most probable Udinese win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.25%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Fiorentina | Udinese | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.84 | 0.55 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 68.65% | 21.05% | 10.28% |
Imp Odds | 1.46 | 4.75 | 9.72 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
1.5 | 31.15% | 3.21 |
2.5 | 57.33% | 1.74 |
3.5 | 78.16% | 1.28 |
4.5 | 90.59% | 1.10 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 90.80% | 1.10 |
1.5 | 68.85% | 1.45 |
2.5 | 42.67% | 2.34 |
3.5 | 21.84% | 4.58 |
4.5 | 9.41% | 10.62 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
0-1 | 5.03% | 19.89 |
0-2 | 1.37% | 72.74 |
0-3 | 0.25% | 399.15 |
1-0 | 16.92% | 5.91 |
1-1 | 9.25% | 10.81 |
1-2 | 2.53% | 39.55 |
1-3 | 0.46% | 217.00 |
2-0 | 15.56% | 6.43 |
2-1 | 8.51% | 11.75 |
2-2 | 2.33% | 43.00 |
2-3 | 0.42% | 235.94 |
3-0 | 9.54% | 10.48 |
3-1 | 5.22% | 19.17 |
3-2 | 1.43% | 70.13 |
3-3 | 0.26% | 384.80 |
Any Other Home Win | 11.48% | 8.71 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.18% | 564.13 |
Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,878.76 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Fiorentina | Udinese | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.40 | 1.02 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 45.87% | 26.87% | 27.25% |
Imp Odds | 2.18 | 3.72 | 3.67 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 8.87% | 11.27 |
1.5 | 30.37% | 3.29 |
2.5 | 56.40% | 1.77 |
3.5 | 77.41% | 1.29 |
4.5 | 90.13% | 1.11 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 91.13% | 1.10 |
1.5 | 69.63% | 1.44 |
2.5 | 43.60% | 2.29 |
3.5 | 22.59% | 4.43 |
4.5 | 9.87% | 10.14 |
Correct Score Based On XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 11.27 | 8.87% |
0-1 | 11.08 | 9.03% |
0-2 | 21.78 | 4.59% |
0-3 | 64.24 | 1.56% |
1-0 | 8.02 | 12.47% |
1-1 | 7.89 | 12.68% |
1-2 | 15.51 | 6.45% |
1-3 | 45.73 | 2.19% |
2-0 | 11.42 | 8.76% |
2-1 | 11.23 | 8.91% |
2-2 | 22.07 | 4.53% |
2-3 | 65.10 | 1.54% |
3-0 | 24.39 | 4.10% |
3-1 | 23.97 | 4.17% |
3-2 | 47.14 | 2.12% |
3-3 | 139.02 | 0.72% |
Any Other Home Win | 18.72 | 5.34% |
Any Other Away Win | 70.36 | 1.42% |
Any Other Draw | 1,469.17 | 0.07% |