Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Liverpool is likely to win this match with a probability of 82.55%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 5.35%, while a draw has a probability of 11.88%. The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 29.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 13.48% and 3-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The most probable Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 2.04%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.65%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Liverpool | Burnley | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.77 | 0.58 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 82.55% | 11.88% | 5.35% |
| Imp Odds | 1.21 | 8.42 | 18.69 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.52% | 28.40 |
| 1.5 | 15.30% | 6.53 |
| 2.5 | 35.02% | 2.86 |
| 3.5 | 57.01% | 1.75 |
| 4.5 | 75.41% | 1.33 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.48% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 84.70% | 1.18 |
| 2.5 | 64.98% | 1.54 |
| 3.5 | 42.99% | 2.33 |
| 4.5 | 24.59% | 4.07 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.52% | 28.40 |
| 0-1 | 2.04% | 49.00 |
| 0-2 | 0.59% | 169.05 |
| 0-3 | 0.11% | 874.89 |
| 1-0 | 9.74% | 10.27 |
| 1-1 | 5.65% | 17.71 |
| 1-2 | 1.64% | 61.10 |
| 1-3 | 0.32% | 316.21 |
| 2-0 | 13.48% | 7.42 |
| 2-1 | 7.81% | 12.80 |
| 2-2 | 2.26% | 44.17 |
| 2-3 | 0.44% | 228.57 |
| 3-0 | 12.43% | 8.05 |
| 3-1 | 7.20% | 13.88 |
| 3-2 | 2.09% | 47.89 |
| 3-3 | 0.40% | 247.84 |
| Any Other Home Win | 29.80% | 3.36 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.19% | 513.71 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,316.90 |
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