Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Tottenham is likely to win this match with a probability of 47%. A win for Brighton has a probability of 32.35%, while a draw has a probability of 20.51%. The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.04% and 3-1 with a probability of 5.1%. The most probable Brighton win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.64%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.43%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Tottenham | Brighton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.17 | 1.79 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 47.00% | 20.51% | 32.35% |
| Imp Odds | 2.13 | 4.88 | 3.09 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.92% | 52.16 |
| 1.5 | 9.50% | 10.53 |
| 2.5 | 24.49% | 4.08 |
| 3.5 | 44.25% | 2.26 |
| 4.5 | 63.78% | 1.57 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.08% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.50% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 75.51% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 55.75% | 1.79 |
| 4.5 | 36.22% | 2.76 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 52.16 | 1.92% |
| 0-1 | 29.17 | 3.43% |
| 0-2 | 32.63 | 3.06% |
| 0-3 | 54.74 | 1.83% |
| 1-0 | 24.08 | 4.15% |
| 1-1 | 13.47 | 7.43% |
| 1-2 | 15.06 | 6.64% |
| 1-3 | 25.27 | 3.96% |
| 2-0 | 22.23 | 4.50% |
| 2-1 | 12.43 | 8.04% |
| 2-2 | 13.91 | 7.19% |
| 2-3 | 23.33 | 4.29% |
| 3-0 | 30.79 | 3.25% |
| 3-1 | 17.22 | 5.81% |
| 3-2 | 19.26 | 5.19% |
| 3-3 | 32.31 | 3.09% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.23 | 16.06% |
| Any Other Away Win | 12.48 | 8.01% |
| Any Other Draw | 113.79 | 0.88% |
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