Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Newcastle is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 32.79%, while a draw has a probability of 22.1%. The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.75% and 0-1 with a probability of 5.81%. The most probable Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.36%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.25%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Newcastle United | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.59 | 1.89 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 32.79% | 22.10% | 44.90% |
| Imp Odds | 3.05 | 4.52 | 2.23 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.07% | 32.53 |
| 1.5 | 13.78% | 7.26 |
| 2.5 | 32.42% | 3.08 |
| 3.5 | 54.05% | 1.85 |
| 4.5 | 72.88% | 1.37 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.93% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 86.22% | 1.16 |
| 2.5 | 67.58% | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 45.95% | 2.18 |
| 4.5 | 27.12% | 3.69 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.07% | 32.53 |
| 0-1 | 5.81% | 17.20 |
| 0-2 | 5.50% | 18.19 |
| 0-3 | 3.47% | 28.85 |
| 1-0 | 4.89% | 20.45 |
| 1-1 | 9.25% | 10.81 |
| 1-2 | 8.75% | 11.43 |
| 1-3 | 5.51% | 18.14 |
| 2-0 | 3.89% | 25.71 |
| 2-1 | 7.36% | 13.59 |
| 2-2 | 6.96% | 14.37 |
| 2-3 | 4.39% | 22.80 |
| 3-0 | 2.06% | 48.47 |
| 3-1 | 3.90% | 25.63 |
| 3-2 | 3.69% | 27.10 |
| 3-3 | 2.33% | 42.99 |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.00% | 14.29 |
| Any Other Away Win | 9.15% | 10.93 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.49% | 202.13 |
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