Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Valencia win, with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Mallorca has a chance of 20.69% and a draw probability of 33.98%. The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win is 0-1 with a probability of 20.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.46% and 1-2 with a probability of 6.11%. The most probable Mallorca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 20.08%.
This match is interesting for betting on the away team (Valencia), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 2.21 compared to around 3.1.
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Mallorca vs. Valencia Betting Tips By XG and Performance
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Mallorca | Valencia | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.58 | 1.02 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 20.69% | 33.98% | 45.30% |
| Imp Odds | 4.83 | 2.94 | 2.21 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 20.08% | 4.98 |
| 1.5 | 52.33% | 1.91 |
| 2.5 | 78.20% | 1.28 |
| 3.5 | 92.05% | 1.09 |
| 4.5 | 97.60% | 1.02 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 79.92% | 1.25 |
| 1.5 | 47.67% | 2.10 |
| 2.5 | 21.80% | 4.59 |
| 3.5 | 7.95% | 12.57 |
| 4.5 | 2.40% | 41.72 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 20.08% | 4.98 |
| 0-1 | 20.49% | 4.88 |
| 0-2 | 10.46% | 9.56 |
| 0-3 | 3.56% | 28.12 |
| 1-0 | 11.75% | 8.51 |
| 1-1 | 11.99% | 8.34 |
| 1-2 | 6.11% | 16.35 |
| 1-3 | 2.08% | 48.08 |
| 2-0 | 3.43% | 29.12 |
| 2-1 | 3.50% | 28.54 |
| 2-2 | 1.79% | 55.93 |
| 2-3 | 0.61% | 164.43 |
| 3-0 | 0.67% | 149.37 |
| 3-1 | 0.68% | 146.39 |
| 3-2 | 0.35% | 286.91 |
| 3-3 | 0.12% | 843.53 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.30% | 332.18 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.89% | 112.09 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 22,081.47 |
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Mallorca | Valencia | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.67 | 1.05 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 22.89% | 32.89% | 44.19% |
| Imp Odds | 4.37 | 3.04 | 2.26 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 17.93% | 5.58 |
| 1.5 | 48.75% | 2.05 |
| 2.5 | 75.23% | 1.33 |
| 3.5 | 90.40% | 1.11 |
| 4.5 | 96.92% | 1.03 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 82.07% | 1.22 |
| 1.5 | 51.25% | 1.95 |
| 2.5 | 24.77% | 4.04 |
| 3.5 | 9.60% | 10.42 |
| 4.5 | 3.08% | 32.45 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 5.58 | 17.93% |
| 0-1 | 5.30 | 18.87% |
| 0-2 | 10.07 | 9.93% |
| 0-3 | 28.70 | 3.48% |
| 1-0 | 8.37 | 11.95% |
| 1-1 | 7.95 | 12.57% |
| 1-2 | 15.11 | 6.62% |
| 1-3 | 43.08 | 2.32% |
| 2-0 | 25.13 | 3.98% |
| 2-1 | 23.88 | 4.19% |
| 2-2 | 45.37 | 2.20% |
| 2-3 | 129.33 | 0.77% |
| 3-0 | 113.16 | 0.88% |
| 3-1 | 107.52 | 0.93% |
| 3-2 | 204.31 | 0.49% |
| 3-3 | 582.37 | 0.17% |
| Any Other Home Win | 210.52 | 0.48% |
| Any Other Away Win | 92.65 | 1.08% |
| Any Other Draw | 12,919.00 | 0.01% |