Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 77.9%. A win for Mallorca has a probability of 9.66%, while a draw has a probability of 10.86%. The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is “Any Other Home Win,” with a probability of 49.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 with a probability of 7.02% and 2-1 with a probability of 5.56%. The most probable Mallorca win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 2.95%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 3.97%.
Below are tables with match analyses by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
3.79 | 1.43 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 77.90% | 10.86% | 9.66% |
Imp Odds | 1.28 | 9.21 | 10.35 |
Over and Under Market By XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 0.54% | 184.56 |
1.5 | 3.37% | 29.68 |
2.5 | 10.75% | 9.31 |
3.5 | 23.58% | 4.24 |
4.5 | 40.31% | 2.48 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 99.46% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 96.63% | 1.03 |
2.5 | 89.25% | 1.12 |
3.5 | 76.42% | 1.31 |
4.5 | 59.69% | 1.68 |
Correct Score Market By XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 184.56 | 0.54% |
0-1 | 129.05 | 0.77% |
0-2 | 180.48 | 0.55% |
0-3 | 378.62 | 0.26% |
1-0 | 48.72 | 2.05% |
1-1 | 34.07 | 2.94% |
1-2 | 47.65 | 2.10% |
1-3 | 99.95 | 1.00% |
2-0 | 25.73 | 3.89% |
2-1 | 17.99 | 5.56% |
2-2 | 25.16 | 3.97% |
2-3 | 52.78 | 1.89% |
3-0 | 20.37 | 4.91% |
3-1 | 14.25 | 7.02% |
3-2 | 19.93 | 5.02% |
3-3 | 41.80 | 2.39% |
Any Other Home Win | 2.02 | 49.46% |
Any Other Away Win | 33.90 | 2.95% |
Any Other Draw | 98.52 | 1.02% |
By Goals
Match Result Market
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
3.40 | 1.16 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 78.71% | 11.53% | 8.92% |
Imp Odds | 1.27 | 8.67 | 11.21 |
Over and Under Market
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 1.04% | 96.13 |
1.5 | 5.79% | 17.27 |
2.5 | 16.63% | 6.01 |
3.5 | 33.13% | 3.02 |
4.5 | 51.97% | 1.92 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 98.96% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 94.21% | 1.06 |
2.5 | 83.37% | 1.20 |
3.5 | 66.87% | 1.50 |
4.5 | 48.03% | 2.08 |
Correct Score Market
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 1.04% | 96.13 |
0-1 | 1.21% | 82.73 |
0-2 | 0.70% | 142.40 |
0-3 | 0.27% | 367.67 |
1-0 | 3.54% | 28.24 |
1-1 | 4.11% | 24.31 |
1-2 | 2.39% | 41.84 |
1-3 | 0.93% | 108.02 |
2-0 | 6.03% | 16.59 |
2-1 | 7.00% | 14.28 |
2-2 | 4.07% | 24.58 |
2-3 | 1.58% | 63.47 |
3-0 | 6.84% | 14.63 |
3-1 | 7.94% | 12.59 |
3-2 | 4.62% | 21.67 |
3-3 | 1.79% | 55.94 |
Any Other Home Win | 42.75% | 2.34 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.75% | 57.27 |
Any Other Draw | 0.52% | 192.27 |