Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Leipzig is likely to win this match with a probability of 80.87%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 6.83%, while a draw has a probability of 11.95%. The most likely scoreline for a Leipzig win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 33.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.4% and 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The most probable Heidenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.13%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.47%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | FC Heidenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.96 | 0.78 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 80.87% | 11.95% | 6.83% |
| Imp Odds | 1.24 | 8.37 | 14.64 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.37% | 42.18 |
| 1.5 | 11.24% | 8.89 |
| 2.5 | 27.84% | 3.59 |
| 3.5 | 48.55% | 2.06 |
| 4.5 | 67.91% | 1.47 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.63% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 88.76% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 72.16% | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 51.45% | 1.94 |
| 4.5 | 32.09% | 3.12 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 42.18 | 2.37% |
| 0-1 | 54.11 | 1.85% |
| 0-2 | 138.83 | 0.72% |
| 0-3 | 534.34 | 0.19% |
| 1-0 | 14.24 | 7.02% |
| 1-1 | 18.27 | 5.47% |
| 1-2 | 46.87 | 2.13% |
| 1-3 | 180.38 | 0.55% |
| 2-0 | 9.61 | 10.40% |
| 2-1 | 12.33 | 8.11% |
| 2-2 | 31.64 | 3.16% |
| 2-3 | 121.78 | 0.82% |
| 3-0 | 9.73 | 10.27% |
| 3-1 | 12.49 | 8.01% |
| 3-2 | 32.04 | 3.12% |
| 3-3 | 123.32 | 0.81% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.95 | 33.93% |
| Any Other Away Win | 190.57 | 0.52% |
| Any Other Draw | 777.85 | 0.13% |