Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich is likely to win this match with a probability of 82.21%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 6.06%, while a draw has a probability of 11.36%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 34.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.89% and 3-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The most probable Union Berlin win is 1-2 with a probability of 1.91%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.28%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.99 | 0.72 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 82.21% | 11.36% | 6.06% |
| Imp Odds | 1.22 | 8.80 | 16.50 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.43% | 41.07 |
| 1.5 | 11.48% | 8.71 |
| 2.5 | 28.29% | 3.54 |
| 3.5 | 49.10% | 2.04 |
| 4.5 | 68.43% | 1.46 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.57% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 88.52% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.71% | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 50.90% | 1.96 |
| 4.5 | 31.57% | 3.17 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 41.07 | 2.43% |
| 0-1 | 56.68 | 1.76% |
| 0-2 | 156.43 | 0.64% |
| 0-3 | 647.64 | 0.15% |
| 1-0 | 13.73 | 7.28% |
| 1-1 | 18.95 | 5.28% |
| 1-2 | 52.31 | 1.91% |
| 1-3 | 216.56 | 0.46% |
| 2-0 | 9.18 | 10.89% |
| 2-1 | 12.67 | 7.89% |
| 2-2 | 34.98 | 2.86% |
| 2-3 | 144.82 | 0.69% |
| 3-0 | 9.21 | 10.85% |
| 3-1 | 12.71 | 7.87% |
| 3-2 | 35.09 | 2.85% |
| 3-3 | 145.28 | 0.69% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.89 | 34.58% |
| Any Other Away Win | 247.08 | 0.40% |
| Any Other Draw | 982.11 | 0.10% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 5.27 | 0.64 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 88.13% | 2.31% | 0.86% |
| Imp Odds | 1.13 | 43.33 | 116.23 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.27% | 367.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.88% | 53.16 |
| 2.5 | 6.63% | 15.08 |
| 3.5 | 15.98% | 6.26 |
| 4.5 | 29.79% | 3.36 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.73% | 1.00 |
| 1.5 | 98.12% | 1.02 |
| 2.5 | 93.37% | 1.07 |
| 3.5 | 84.02% | 1.19 |
| 4.5 | 70.21% | 1.42 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 0.27% | 367.10 |
| 0-1 | 0.17% | 576.46 |
| 0-2 | 0.06% | 1,810.49 |
| 0-3 | 0.01% | 8,529.26 |
| 1-0 | 1.44% | 69.67 |
| 1-1 | 0.91% | 109.41 |
| 1-2 | 0.29% | 343.62 |
| 1-3 | 0.06% | 1,618.82 |
| 2-0 | 3.78% | 26.45 |
| 2-1 | 2.41% | 41.53 |
| 2-2 | 0.77% | 130.44 |
| 2-3 | 0.16% | 614.49 |
| 3-0 | 6.64% | 15.06 |
| 3-1 | 4.23% | 23.65 |
| 3-2 | 1.35% | 74.27 |
| 3-3 | 0.29% | 349.88 |
| Any Other Home Win | 68.29% | 1.46 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.10% | 977.18 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.07% | 1,453.87 |