Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta is likely to win this match with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Torino has a probability of 26.74%, while a draw has a probability of 35.71%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is 0-1, with a probability of 18.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 8.01% and 1-2 with a probability of 5.48%. The most probable Torino win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 21.12%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Torino | Atalanta | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.68 | 0.87 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 26.74% | 35.71% | 37.55% |
Imp Odds | 3.74 | 2.80 | 2.66 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 21.12% | 4.73 |
1.5 | 53.97% | 1.85 |
2.5 | 79.50% | 1.26 |
3.5 | 92.73% | 1.08 |
4.5 | 97.87% | 1.02 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 78.88% | 1.27 |
1.5 | 46.03% | 2.17 |
2.5 | 20.50% | 4.88 |
3.5 | 7.27% | 13.76 |
4.5 | 2.13% | 47.01 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 4.73 | 21.12% |
0-1 | 5.43 | 18.40% |
0-2 | 12.48 | 8.01% |
0-3 | 42.97 | 2.33% |
1-0 | 6.92 | 14.44% |
1-1 | 7.95 | 12.58% |
1-2 | 18.25 | 5.48% |
1-3 | 62.86 | 1.59% |
2-0 | 20.26 | 4.94% |
2-1 | 23.25 | 4.30% |
2-2 | 53.39 | 1.87% |
2-3 | 183.88 | 0.54% |
3-0 | 88.88 | 1.13% |
3-1 | 102.04 | 0.98% |
3-2 | 234.28 | 0.43% |
3-3 | 806.88 | 0.12% |
Any Other Home Win | 190.64 | 0.52% |
Any Other Away Win | 168.73 | 0.59% |
Any Other Draw | 21,165.67 | 0.00% |