Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Roma is likely to win this match with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Sassuolo has a probability of 27.17%, while a draw has a probability of 23.42%. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-2, with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 8.69% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The most probable Sassuolo win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.77%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.85%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Sassuolo | Roma | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.25 | 1.76 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 27.17% | 23.42% | 49.20% |
| Imp Odds | 3.68 | 4.27 | 2.03 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.94% | 20.24 |
| 1.5 | 19.80% | 5.05 |
| 2.5 | 42.15% | 2.37 |
| 3.5 | 64.55% | 1.55 |
| 4.5 | 81.40% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.06% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.20% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 | 57.85% | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 35.45% | 2.82 |
| 4.5 | 18.60% | 5.38 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 20.24 | 4.94% |
| 0-1 | 11.50 | 8.69% |
| 0-2 | 13.08 | 7.65% |
| 0-3 | 22.29 | 4.49% |
| 1-0 | 16.22 | 6.17% |
| 1-1 | 9.22 | 10.85% |
| 1-2 | 10.48 | 9.55% |
| 1-3 | 17.86 | 5.60% |
| 2-0 | 25.98 | 3.85% |
| 2-1 | 14.77 | 6.77% |
| 2-2 | 16.79 | 5.96% |
| 2-3 | 28.62 | 3.49% |
| 3-0 | 62.45 | 1.60% |
| 3-1 | 35.49 | 2.82% |
| 3-2 | 40.35 | 2.48% |
| 3-3 | 68.79 | 1.45% |
| Any Other Home Win | 28.68 | 3.49% |
| Any Other Away Win | 14.28 | 7.00% |
| Any Other Draw | 458.32 | 0.22% |