Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that PSG is likely to win this match with a probability of 72.67%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 10.95%, while a draw has a probability of 16.28%. The most likely scoreline for a PSG win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 23.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.01% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The most probable Nantes win is 1-2 with a probability of 3.24%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.6%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.47 | 0.85 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 72.67% | 16.28% | 10.95% |
| Imp Odds | 1.38 | 6.14 | 9.14 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.61% | 27.68 |
| 1.5 | 15.61% | 6.41 |
| 2.5 | 35.53% | 2.81 |
| 3.5 | 57.58% | 1.74 |
| 4.5 | 75.88% | 1.32 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.39% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 84.39% | 1.18 |
| 2.5 | 64.47% | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 42.42% | 2.36 |
| 4.5 | 24.12% | 4.15 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 27.68 | 3.61% |
| 0-1 | 32.47 | 3.08% |
| 0-2 | 76.18 | 1.31% |
| 0-3 | 268.10 | 0.37% |
| 1-0 | 11.21 | 8.92% |
| 1-1 | 13.15 | 7.60% |
| 1-2 | 30.86 | 3.24% |
| 1-3 | 108.62 | 0.92% |
| 2-0 | 9.09 | 11.01% |
| 2-1 | 10.66 | 9.38% |
| 2-2 | 25.01 | 4.00% |
| 2-3 | 88.02 | 1.14% |
| 3-0 | 11.04 | 9.05% |
| 3-1 | 12.96 | 7.72% |
| 3-2 | 30.40 | 3.29% |
| 3-3 | 106.99 | 0.93% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.29 | 23.30% |
| Any Other Away Win | 126.62 | 0.79% |
| Any Other Draw | 746.96 | 0.13% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Paris Saint Germain | Nantes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 4.29 | 0.67 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 90.13% | 4.72% | 2.01% |
| Imp Odds | 1.11 | 21.20 | 49.68 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.70% | 143.05 |
| 1.5 | 4.17% | 23.99 |
| 2.5 | 12.78% | 7.83 |
| 3.5 | 27.02% | 3.70 |
| 4.5 | 44.70% | 2.24 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.30% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 95.83% | 1.04 |
| 2.5 | 87.22% | 1.15 |
| 3.5 | 72.98% | 1.37 |
| 4.5 | 55.30% | 1.81 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 0.70% | 143.05 |
| 0-1 | 0.47% | 213.26 |
| 0-2 | 0.16% | 635.86 |
| 0-3 | 0.04% | 2,843.89 |
| 1-0 | 3.00% | 33.33 |
| 1-1 | 2.01% | 49.68 |
| 1-2 | 0.68% | 148.14 |
| 1-3 | 0.15% | 662.54 |
| 2-0 | 6.44% | 15.53 |
| 2-1 | 4.32% | 23.15 |
| 2-2 | 1.45% | 69.02 |
| 2-3 | 0.32% | 308.70 |
| 3-0 | 9.21% | 10.85 |
| 3-1 | 6.18% | 16.18 |
| 3-2 | 2.07% | 48.24 |
| 3-3 | 0.46% | 215.76 |
| Any Other Home Win | 58.90% | 1.70 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.19% | 513.07 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.09% | 1,065.82 |