Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Liverpool is likely to win this match with a probability of 65.37%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 12%, while a draw has a probability of 22.63%. The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-0, with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 14.8% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 9.83%. The most probable Manchester United win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.74%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.97%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Liverpool | Manchester United | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.74 | 0.58 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 65.37% | 22.63% | 12.00% |
| Imp Odds | 1.53 | 4.42 | 8.34 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.83% | 10.17 |
| 1.5 | 32.63% | 3.06 |
| 2.5 | 59.08% | 1.69 |
| 3.5 | 79.53% | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 91.39% | 1.09 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.17% | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | 67.37% | 1.48 |
| 2.5 | 40.92% | 2.44 |
| 3.5 | 20.47% | 4.89 |
| 4.5 | 8.61% | 11.62 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 9.83% | 10.17 |
| 0-1 | 5.74% | 17.41 |
| 0-2 | 1.68% | 59.61 |
| 0-3 | 0.33% | 306.07 |
| 1-0 | 17.06% | 5.86 |
| 1-1 | 9.97% | 10.03 |
| 1-2 | 2.91% | 34.35 |
| 1-3 | 0.57% | 176.36 |
| 2-0 | 14.80% | 6.76 |
| 2-1 | 8.65% | 11.56 |
| 2-2 | 2.53% | 39.58 |
| 2-3 | 0.49% | 203.23 |
| 3-0 | 8.56% | 11.68 |
| 3-1 | 5.00% | 19.99 |
| 3-2 | 1.46% | 68.42 |
| 3-3 | 0.28% | 351.30 |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.83% | 10.17 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.22% | 446.33 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,321.21 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Liverpool | Manchester United | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.92 | 0.90 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 78.02% | 13.05% | 8.61% |
| Imp Odds | 1.28 | 7.66 | 11.62 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.18% | 45.96 |
| 1.5 | 10.50% | 9.52 |
| 2.5 | 26.44% | 3.78 |
| 3.5 | 46.78% | 2.14 |
| 4.5 | 66.24% | 1.51 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.82% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 89.50% | 1.12 |
| 2.5 | 73.56% | 1.36 |
| 3.5 | 53.22% | 1.88 |
| 4.5 | 33.76% | 2.96 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 45.96 | 2.18% |
| 0-1 | 50.82 | 1.97% |
| 0-2 | 112.39 | 0.89% |
| 0-3 | 372.84 | 0.27% |
| 1-0 | 15.72 | 6.36% |
| 1-1 | 17.38 | 5.75% |
| 1-2 | 38.45 | 2.60% |
| 1-3 | 127.54 | 0.78% |
| 2-0 | 10.76 | 9.30% |
| 2-1 | 11.89 | 8.41% |
| 2-2 | 26.30 | 3.80% |
| 2-3 | 87.25 | 1.15% |
| 3-0 | 11.04 | 9.06% |
| 3-1 | 12.20 | 8.19% |
| 3-2 | 26.99 | 3.70% |
| 3-3 | 89.54 | 1.12% |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.03 | 32.99% |
| Any Other Away Win | 113.94 | 0.88% |
| Any Other Draw | 486.45 | 0.21% |