Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Mallorca is likely to win this match with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 39.98%, while a draw has a probability of 18.96%. The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win is “Any Other Away Win”, with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 1-2 with a probability of 5.92%. The most probable Almeria win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 17.64%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 6.93%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to wager on the Over 2.5 market, as our model has calculated an average predicted goal score of 4.71.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Almeria | Mallorca | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.34 | 2.37 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 39.98% | 18.96% | 40.70% |
Imp Odds | 2.50 | 5.28 | 2.46 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 0.90% | 110.66 |
1.5 | 5.16% | 19.39 |
2.5 | 15.17% | 6.59 |
3.5 | 30.87% | 3.24 |
4.5 | 49.34% | 2.03 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 99.10% | 1.01 |
1.5 | 94.84% | 1.05 |
2.5 | 84.83% | 1.18 |
3.5 | 69.13% | 1.45 |
4.5 | 50.66% | 1.97 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 110.66 | 0.90% |
0-1 | 46.77 | 2.14% |
0-2 | 39.53 | 2.53% |
0-3 | 50.11 | 2.00% |
1-0 | 47.29 | 2.11% |
1-1 | 19.98 | 5.00% |
1-2 | 16.89 | 5.92% |
1-3 | 21.41 | 4.67% |
2-0 | 40.41 | 2.47% |
2-1 | 17.08 | 5.86% |
2-2 | 14.44 | 6.93% |
2-3 | 18.30 | 5.46% |
3-0 | 51.80 | 1.93% |
3-1 | 21.89 | 4.57% |
3-2 | 18.50 | 5.40% |
3-3 | 23.46 | 4.26% |
Any Other Home Win | 5.67 | 17.64% |
Any Other Away Win | 6.20 | 16.14% |
Any Other Draw | 53.81 | 1.86% |