Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Marseille is likely to win this match with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Montpellier has a probability of 34.15%, while a draw has a probability of 25.16%. The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 0-1, with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.75% and 0-2 with a probability of 6.57%. The most probable Montpellier win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.86%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Montpellier | Marseille | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.33 | 1.48 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 34.15% | 25.16% | 40.60% |
Imp Odds | 2.93 | 3.97 | 2.46 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 6.03% | 16.58 |
1.5 | 22.97% | 4.35 |
2.5 | 46.75% | 2.14 |
3.5 | 69.01% | 1.45 |
4.5 | 84.64% | 1.18 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 93.97% | 1.06 |
1.5 | 77.03% | 1.30 |
2.5 | 53.25% | 1.88 |
3.5 | 30.99% | 3.23 |
4.5 | 15.36% | 6.51 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 16.58 | 6.03% |
0-1 | 11.23 | 8.90% |
0-2 | 15.21 | 6.57% |
0-3 | 30.91 | 3.23% |
1-0 | 12.45 | 8.03% |
1-1 | 8.43 | 11.86% |
1-2 | 11.42 | 8.75% |
1-3 | 23.21 | 4.31% |
2-0 | 18.70 | 5.35% |
2-1 | 12.66 | 7.90% |
2-2 | 17.15 | 5.83% |
2-3 | 34.85 | 2.87% |
3-0 | 42.11 | 2.37% |
3-1 | 28.52 | 3.51% |
3-2 | 38.63 | 2.59% |
3-3 | 78.50 | 1.27% |
Any Other Home Win | 22.73 | 4.40% |
Any Other Away Win | 22.79 | 4.39% |
Any Other Draw | 589.64 | 0.17% |